The summit will convene prominent leaders from the climate arena, including Gillian Caldwell, chief climate officer and deputy assistant at USAID, Dr. Hoesung Lee the chair of the IPCC, Selwin Hart, special advisor to UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres on Climate action, and many others. Youre on the list! He campaigned on Hugs, Not Bullets. Now, hes militarized the country. Claudia Sheinbaum is currently perceived as the presidents closest ally, and his favorite choice of successor after she has worked hand in hand with him for the past three decades. Criticism has mounted over Show morethe governments unpopular economic policies and its slow response to the Feb. 6 earthquake, which claimed more than 50,000 lives. Others in the governors orbit, however, have argued that that date would be too soon, according to two of those sources. The reforms, spearheaded by Lpez Obrador, would slash the agencys budget, shrink civil service staffing, and strip the agencys independence ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. Still, in a hemisphere that has seen leaders rise to power through charismatic leadership and populistic ideals only to reveal their authoritarian intentions and machinations down the line, theres reason to be cautious, Berthin said. Presidents' Day 2022 - Calendar Date Our countries are not isolated islands,. The next presidential election will mark America's 60th presidential contest. Two other Republicans ex-South Carolina Gov. More ways to stay updated on global news: By submitting your email, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to receive email correspondence from us. The 2022 Mexican presidential recall election, officially called the Recall Process of the President of the Republic elected for the constitutional period 20182024 (Spanish: Proceso de Revocacin de Mandato del Presidente de la Repblica electo para el periodo constitucional 20182024) by the electoral organization Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE), was held in Mexico on 10 April 2022 to decide if the incumbent President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador should stay in office and serve his full six-year term.[1][2]. . Can AMLOs Popularity Survive a U.S. By refusing negotiation over Chinas rise, the United States might be making conflict inevitable. Do not translate text that appears unreliable or low-quality. Even some non-aligned countries have cautiously signaled support. A Morning Consult poll out Tuesday had Trump with a 37 percentage-point lead on DeSantis, his biggest margin to date. In His Fight Against Democracy, Mexico's President Is a Heavy Favorite In 30 of Mexico's states, there will be elections for state congress and for mayors as well. The opposition, meanwhile, is struggling both to find an attractive message and to select someone who can compete against MORENAs candidate, whoever AMLO ends up choosing. There are some real concerns about whether Mexicans will continue to believe in their democratic system and their democratic institutions if the reforms play out the way President Lpez Obrador seems to want, in the sense that he wants the legislation to be upheld, said Andrew Rudman, director of the Mexico Institute at the Wilson Center. If you find an error, please let us know. The discussion with former secretary of state Kerry serves as a preview to FPs annual climate summit. That is why its crucial that Mexicans channel these civil society protests electorally when the time comes, he said. Anyone can read what you share. Elections are always tricky to predict, even in the most stable governments. Our president lost because he doesnt have the confidence of the people.. More than 15 million Mexicans are happy and want me to continue until September 2024, Mr. Lpez Obrador said in a video message published shortly after preliminary results were announced. [5] Other potential candidates proposed by Lpez Obrador himself include Rosa Icela Rodrguez, Tatiana Clouthier, Juan Ramn de la Fuente, Roco Nahle, and Esteban Moctezuma. Nine out of ten Mexicans voting on Sunday in an unprecedented recall election engineered by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador backed him to stay in office, underlining his . The last one was in 2020, so the next contest for the highest office in the nation will be in 2024. But for years, he has demonized the media, lionized the military, and belittled his political opposition. Policymakers in Washington dont agree about much, but theres a striking bipartisan consensus on one issue: China. Jos Cruz Arias Flores casting his ballot in Labor Vieja, in Jalisco State on Sunday. Our countries are not isolated islands, said Lorenzo Crdova Vianello, director of INE. Maybe the Feb. 6 earthquake was just that. Jan. 8. The president today is popularly elected to a single six-year term and has the power to select a cabinet, the attorney general, diplomats, high-ranking military officers, and Supreme Court justices (who serve life terms). Rocio Fabbro is an intern atForeign Policy. Privacy & Terms. The economy contracted 8.5% in 2020, though it is now clawing back . Biden's long-awaited announcement came early the morning of April 25 with a three-minute video indicating the President planned to run for a second term. Luis Donaldo Colosio Murrieta - Wikipedia Although Mr. Lpez Obrador fell far short of the 40 percent participation required to make the results count, marshaling more than 15 million people across the country to vote in his favor underscores his ability to mobilize his base at a time when his governments achievements are under scrutiny. An imminent launch would help alleviate the compounding anxiety among supporters over DeSantis taking too long to jump into the fray and risking missing his moment. Mexicans cast their vote at the general election every 6 years. However when Morena suffered significant loses in the midterms, Lpez Obrador repeatedly chastised the middle class for not being patriots and not supporting him, and that has gotten their political dander up. Here's why Mexico's president is launching a vote to recall himself Download the FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. IE 11 is not supported. But they will likely have the opposite effect and help usher Lpez Obradors preferred successor into office. To find out, FPs Ravi Agrawal spoke to John Kerry, Bidens special envoy for climate. Navigating Mexico: What to Expect in Mexico's 2024 Elections The day marks the new president of Mexico taking office. Delivered Friday. Schools and most businesses are open. Originally from Tabasco, AMLOs home state, the relationship between the two goes beyond politics. "Theres not been any thing set," he said. elections. And the Morena government knows far too well that it cannot control the middle class, because that group has not gotten anything out of the AMLO administration, unless substandard public schools, overcrowded and underfunded health care, and a weakened buying power constitute a benefit. What will it look like? But more than 90 percent of those who did turn out voted in favor of the president completing his six-year term, according to preliminary results from Mexicos electoral watchdog. [9] At the start of August 2021, after the corruption trial referendum, Lpez Obrador insisted that he himself would promote the recall election. Turkeys leader for the last two decades, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, could be defeated in the countrys next presidential election, scheduled for May 14. Lpez Obradors gambit is the latest in a line of incumbent power grabs in the hemisphere, including insurrections and doubt about electoral integrity stoked by former U.S. President Donald Trump and former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, former Peruvian President Pedro Castillos attempt to dissolve Congress late last year, and El Salvadorian President Nayib Bukeles widespread undermining of democratic controls. Now, he has his sights set on Mexicos fragile democracy. Watchthe full discussion on video orreada lightly edited and condensed transcript, exclusive to FPInsiders. His campaign has filedpaperwork with the Federal Election Commission confirming those plans. [2], The 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected by two methods; 300 are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, with the remaining 200 elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation, with seats allocated using the simple quotient and largest remainder method. Add to that the Mexican components of political subtexts, conspiracy theories and dubious opinion-polling, it could be a huge leap to make a prediction a little less than three years out. On corruption, Mexico is one of the lowest ranked on Transparency Internationals corruption index. Schools and most businesses are open. Instead, like so much in the countrys polarized politics these days, the vote became one more trench from which each side of the political spectrum could do battle. In the three-seat constituencies, two seats are allocated to the party receiving the highest number of votes and one seat to the party receiving the second-highest number of votes. Voters will elect a new president to serve a six-year term, 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies and 128 members of the Senate. The summit will convene prominent leaders from the climate arena, including Gillian Caldwell, chief climate officer and deputy assistant at USAID, Dr. Hoesung Lee the chair of the IPCC, Selwin Hart, special advisor to UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres on Climate action, and many others. The presidents attention is devoted to lining up a successor, but several figures in the ruling party want the nomination. Ordorica is a journalist and analyst based in Mexico City. [5], Potential candidates on the right include PRI's Enrique de la Madrid and Claudia Ruiz Massieu, cabinet members during the presidency of Enrique Pea Nieto, as well as Beatriz Paredes, a PRI senator, Damin Zepeda, former president of PAN, Juan Carlos Romero Hicks, representative from PAN, Santiago Creel, a former senator and Secretary of the Interior from PAN, and Lilly Tllez, former journalist, and now senator from PAN. Ebrard has his own political profile that, contrary to Sheinbaum or Augusto Lpez, wasnt built around AMLO. PUERTO VALLARTA, Jalisco Leftist Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador (AMLO) is now halfway through his six-year term, and has promised to not try to stay in office when that term expires on Nov. 30, 2024. Mexicos general election is a day off for workers in Mexico. The Constitution spells outjust three requirements to hold the presidency. The INE reforms are the latest, and perhaps highest-profile, of the Mexican presidents moves. The synthetic opioid fentanyl, which kills about 70,000 Americans per year, is mainly manufactured in Mexico with precursor chemicals smuggled in from China. [5], Enrique Alfaro, governor of Jalisco, has expressed his desire to be the candidate of his party, the Movimiento Ciudadano. All emphasized, however, that mid-May is the target. Lpez Obrador has claimed that Mexico doesn't produce fentanyl something most experts disagree with and that the U.S. has a fentanyl problem because American families don't hug their kids enough. For the poor, Morena is seen as a champion of their causes, working to end corruption, one of AMLOs catch phrases, although according to the World Justice Project index, Mexico has fallen nine points in just the last year to 113th place out of 139 countries in terms of fighting corruption. By signing up, I agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to occasionally receive special offers from Foreign Policy. While thiswas ultimately theelection that made Joe Biden president, his win was not confirmed by most mainstream media outlets until Nov. 7,after four days of vote counting. 2016, 2018, 2020. The Current One Has Too Much to Say,, the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. MEXICO CITY, April 10 (Reuters) - Nine out of ten Mexicans voting on Sunday in an unprecedented recall election engineered by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador backed him to stay in office . Hosted by Sabrina Tavernise. MEXICO CITY, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Mexican lawmakers on Wednesday approved a controversial overhaul of the body overseeing the country's elections, a move critics warn will weaken democracy. And I think what is happening right now in Mexico, which is not an isolated case, there are a lot of links with what is happening in American democracy, or Brazilian democracy, or even in other parts of the world.. Are U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan finally listening to their European counterparts and advocating for a softer approach on China? ", "AMLO registra en diciembre su mejor nivel de aprobacin del 2021", "ENCUESTA: Baja aprobacin de Lpez Obrador", "Gira por EU 'da alas' a AMLO: Aprobacin repunta a 66% en noviembre", "AMLO sube aprobacin, pese a percepcin en seguridad", "Mexicanos difieren con AMLO sobre crticas a la UNAM", "Mes patrio le da 'empujoncito' a AMLO': sube a 61% de aprobacin", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Mexican_presidential_recall_referendum&oldid=1123767676, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles needing translation from Spanish Wikipedia, Articles containing Spanish-language text, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0. As for public security, there are currently 26 homicides per 100,000 people in Mexico, the highest number since 2018. Delivered Wednesday & Sunday. As long as institutions are being undermined by personalistic or caudillo-like figures, I think the vulnerability of democratic gains will continue to be the trend, Berthin said. DeSantis has brushed off questions about his 2024 aspirations, often in an awkward fashion, which has amplified the idea he might not be ready for the presidential spotlight. Mr. Lpez Obrador is limited to one six-year term by the Constitution, but as his partys key power broker, he is expected to play a vital role in picking a successor to carry on his legacy. Perhaps conscious of recent tensions with the United States over U.S. overdose deaths from fentanyl smuggled in from Mexico, Lpez Obrador spent part of his speech praising former U.S. Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who didn't actively oppose the 1938 oil expropriation despite the fact many of the firms were American. Mexico's Largest Election Ever Is Also One Of Its Deadliest : NPR Produced by Will Reid and Michael Simon Johnson. With the next presidential election about two years away, the recall referendum also presented an opportunity for Mr. Lpez Obrador to test his partys strengths and weaknesses across the country, and determine who might be best positioned to succeed him. Analysts said that the vote, which was executed smoothly, may actually end up bolstering the image of one of the presidents most frequent targets: Mexicos electoral watchdog.
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